Substack The Big Muddy: The Hurricane Watch for November 5th Florida dries off after non-tropical rains as a potential subtropical storm heads out to sea. Florida tropical threat synopsis: No tropical threats to the U.S. for the foreseeable future. Almanac: It’s Thursday,…
FOX 13 Tampa Bay FOX 13 Meteorologist Jim Weber is watching an area in the Atlantic that has a 50% chance of developing over the next week. Weber says it has some subtropical characteristics, which means if it develops it could become Tropical…
The low pressure area near Bermuda is producing gale force winds to the north of the center, as observed on satellite data. Recent buoy data indicate that rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are occurring in this region, with locally higher…
A computer forecast model with a somewhat checkered past is no more after NOAA decided to pull the plug on the system that had been around since 2005. The North American Mesoscale model, commonly known as the NAM, produced forecasts up…
Regardless of development, this disturbance poses no threat to Florida. The Gulf Coast Hurricane Tracking Team is monitoring a non-tropical area of low pressure near Bermuda for subtropical development over the next few days. As of midday Thursday, development odds…
El Niño is expected to contribute to below-average tropical cyclone activity in the South-West Indian Ocean during the 2026–2027 season, according to WMO’s Regional Specialized Meteorological Centre (RSMC) La Réunion (Météo-France). There is a 70% probability of below-normal activity, with 6 to 10 named…
As the Atlantic hurricane season enters its final month, the basin can still produce activity capable of threatening Florida. According to data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, only around a dozen tropical storms and hurricanes have impacted the…
A computer forecast model with a somewhat checkered past is no more after NOAA decided to pull the plug on the system that had been around since 2005. The North American Mesoscale model, commonly known as the NAM, produced forecasts up…
Western and Central Atlantic: A broad, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles south of Bermuda is producing some disorganized convection mainly to the east of its center. Environmental conditions could support this weekend while it moves slowly…
Hurricanes & Tropical Storms NOAA’s National Hurricane Center is monitoring a broad area of low air pressure that could take on subtropical characteristics this weekend. The disturbance is located hundreds of miles south of Bermuda and poses no threat to Texas…
Atlantic/Pacific hurricanes, typhoons, and cyclones—cones, tracks, surge, and recovery.
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